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The Venezuelan Crisis Is Poised to Determine President Trump's Political Legacy - as well as America's Position in the Global Order

In the wake of executing a night of overwhelming force in Venezuela, Donald Trump seems to be entering the state-building business.

In a notable media briefing at his Mar-a-Lago resort on Saturday morning, the president stated that US military forces had successfully seized Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in an overnight raid in Caracas.

Trump then said that a group featuring Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth, working with Venezuelans, would be seizing the reins of the beleaguered nation.

"We are going to manage the country until such time as we can do a safe, orderly and careful transition," he said.

What precisely "governing the state" involves is unclear, but the pledge represents an abrupt shift in direction for the president, laden with inconsistencies and significant challenges.

A president who ran on opposing "forever wars", who vehemently denounced past US attempts at regime change and who vowed to implement an "America First" international policy is now betting his presidency on effectively rebuilding a South American nation whose economic system is collapsed and whose political stability has been eroded by years of dictatorship.

Yet, Trump was relentlessly upbeat.

He stated his administration has a "perfect track record of winning" – and that this would be no exception. He pledged to recruit American oil firms to repair Venezuela's deteriorating production infrastructure, supplying financing for the American rebuilding project and aiding the Venezuelan people.

He did not exclude sending American soldiers to Venezuela to further these efforts. "We do not fear boots on the ground…we had boots on the ground last night," he informed reporters.

Trump, a sharp critic of the US invasion of Iraq, will now have to consider the words of one of the American architects of the Iraq War, Secretary of State Colin Powell: "If you break it, you own it."

A Shift in Foreign Policy

The US has altered Venezuela's prospects – whether for good or ill.

Trump came to power nearly a year ago promising to be a diplomat, but over the past year he has proven that he is quite prepared to use military force worldwide.

In the past week, he ordered airstrikes on Syria and Nigeria. In 2025, he targeted nuclear facilities in Iran, alleged drug-trafficking boats in the Caribbean, insurgent groups in Yemen, militias in Somalia and jihadist fighters in Iraq.

In contrast to previous actions, which have largely involved missiles and aircraft that minimize the risk of American forces to harm, Trump's Venezuela operation – and his commitments to the fate of that nation – are markedly different.

His objective, he said during his briefing, is to "make Venezuela great again."

Response at Home and Abroad

That twist on Trump's "MAGA" – or Maga - slogan may be hard for some of Trump's followers to swallow.

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a one-time Trump loyalist who split from the president after charging him of abandoning his political base, was quick to criticize the president's actions on social media.

"Americans' disgust with our own government's never ending military aggression and backing for overseas conflicts is justified because we are forced to fund it," she stated. "This is what many in Maga thought they voted to end. How mistaken we were."

Another notable Trump critic, Republican Congressman Thomas Massie, compared the legal justification for Maduro's arrest – on weapons and cocaine trafficking charges – with Trump's explanation that the operation was to reclaim seized US oil and halt fentanyl production.

Most Republican lawmakers supported the president, with House Speaker Mike Johnson describing the armed intervention against a "illegitimate government" as "decisive and warranted".

Policy Rationales and Worldwide Consequences

During his appearance, the president said the Venezuelan operation furthered his "America First" priorities because it ensured US regional security and provided a steady source of oil.

He resurrected the Monroe Doctrine – an nineteenth-century American foreign policy that declared the Western Hemisphere should be free from influence by European powers – and renamed it the "Trump Doctrine."

The move in Venezuela, Trump said, shows that "US preeminence in the Western Hemisphere will not be questioned again."

The purpose of the new US security policy, he said, was to "protect trade, territory and resources that are core to our national security." He labeled the Western Hemisphere as America's "sphere of influence."

Trump's choice to capture Maduro will raise broader concerns in international relations, however, and affect American ties with the world's other significant military powers.

The Chinese foreign ministry released a statement expressing shock and denouncing what it said was a irresponsible attack on a sovereign nation.

During the Biden administration, the US offered similar condemnations of Russia after its invasion of Ukraine. Now the Trump administration is trying to broker a ceasefire between those two nations – one that has often appeared to be leaning to the Russian side.

Don Bacon, a moderate Republican congressman, voiced worry about the signal Trump's actions might send.

"My main concern is now Russia will use this to excuse their unlawful and brutal operations against Ukraine, or China to justify an invasion of Taiwan."

Opposition and Legal Scrutiny

Trump's Democratic opponents were sharper.

"The United States should not be administering other countries for any reason," said a senator who serves on the Foreign Relations Committee. "We should have learned by now not to get entangled in endless wars and regime change missions that carry catastrophic results for Americans."

Another senior Democratic lawmaker stated Maduro is a lawbreaker and a dictator with a record of rights violations. But he condemned Trump's decision not to inform legislative leaders prior to initiating the attack.

"The President has the constitutional responsibility to follow the law and uphold democratic norms in the United States," he said. "That is what placing America First demands."

Trump, in his press conference, explained that he chose not to inform Congress because he was concerned they would "leak" details of the operation prior to the attack.

A Path Forward Shrouded in Doubt

That mission was a success – with zero American casualties and limited damage to US equipment. Trump, with his typical confidence, portrayed the operation as a "daring raid" and "one of the most stunning, effective and impressive demonstrations of American military might and competency in US history."

Now he is gambling his legacy on that success continuing, as the US claims it will take over running and rebuilding Venezuela - though what that actually means remains unclear. He and his administration must fortify a nation that has been in chaos for years while stabilising a hemisphere that is bound to be cautious of what Trump's foreign policy has in store for them.

GW
About the author

Gabriela Wong

A seasoned sports analyst with over a decade of experience in betting markets, specializing in data-driven predictions.

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